TA的每日心情 | 开心 2020-10-12 07:13 |
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签到天数: 1 天 [LV.1]炼气
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晨枫 发表于 2024-10-28 23:26
3 z# c+ F, P0 M9 y. M. Ehttps://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8 ...
) J5 b+ V" k7 F, P5 G16 Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr sub-
. \: l% N ~+ k8 O$ ^6 Y$ K6 qsonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic mis-
. P- p! g' b' H7 M i" I9 Nsiles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 super-- M2 s" O) C! }) @# x
sonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25%# [4 z5 D7 t. O$ }# W7 }+ ^3 ?
interception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such
2 h- e2 C% \ u+ Z" {interceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to1 p0 N, e8 B2 Q3 w% ^% _
shoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers,4 K' V- z9 M! Q+ z8 V
and Germany has 72 launchers in total.
3 N% R# g/ m- @6 a" c+ L9 L2 T {
看不懂这些数据之后的逻辑?KH-22导弹的拦截成功率是0.55%,爱国者系统刚入乌时部署在基辅的那个导弹连曾经被攻击过,也就是说俄罗斯在那次作战中掌握了具体坐标,如果这些超音速导弹拦截成功率如此之低,5-10枚齐射交换一个爱国者系统显然是划算的买卖。但是两年过去了,俄罗斯从未完成这一目标。看起来非常自相矛盾。 |
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