TA的每日心情 | 开心 2020-10-12 07:13 |
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签到天数: 1 天 [LV.1]炼气
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晨枫 发表于 2024-10-28 23:26$ W, g/ U) Q, r3 O `9 \7 q
https://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8 ... + Z- q+ {; h1 \: Z
16 Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr sub-
! G+ {$ S$ j: a% J; Nsonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic mis-2 J& N8 E: X0 _' a# {
siles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 super-
! T5 V3 y# h1 `* L: bsonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25%+ |) T4 j. E: `+ H0 r
interception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such
8 J, c' ^9 b$ ? W+ d, r4 cinterceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to
2 x b e8 s. q7 Z' }0 G# j/ e$ Vshoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers,5 l& \/ G* m- c/ Z
and Germany has 72 launchers in total.: H# E$ t, W+ a1 J) Z) a8 y/ a0 ?1 z8 k
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看不懂这些数据之后的逻辑?KH-22导弹的拦截成功率是0.55%,爱国者系统刚入乌时部署在基辅的那个导弹连曾经被攻击过,也就是说俄罗斯在那次作战中掌握了具体坐标,如果这些超音速导弹拦截成功率如此之低,5-10枚齐射交换一个爱国者系统显然是划算的买卖。但是两年过去了,俄罗斯从未完成这一目标。看起来非常自相矛盾。 |
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