TA的每日心情 | 开心 2020-10-12 07:13 |
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签到天数: 1 天 [LV.1]炼气
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晨枫 发表于 2024-10-28 23:26
: `1 A$ e, q& D- q/ [/ ~# Nhttps://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8 ...
. Q2 ^3 v4 w9 J3 c" v% H16 Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr sub-
- a" @5 R3 n" a _7 Csonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic mis-
* Z, h3 t/ `% \3 l% xsiles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 super-+ a; B( C& {; T
sonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25%) I0 w, X4 J& F
interception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such
$ B+ G( ~/ O; n% e3 _3 tinterceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to, @6 a. l9 {5 l: R: m3 t, K" ]
shoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers,$ h2 X% e% ~" \% K- D; d) R
and Germany has 72 launchers in total.
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看不懂这些数据之后的逻辑?KH-22导弹的拦截成功率是0.55%,爱国者系统刚入乌时部署在基辅的那个导弹连曾经被攻击过,也就是说俄罗斯在那次作战中掌握了具体坐标,如果这些超音速导弹拦截成功率如此之低,5-10枚齐射交换一个爱国者系统显然是划算的买卖。但是两年过去了,俄罗斯从未完成这一目标。看起来非常自相矛盾。 |
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