& w/ K1 m' R1 i赫然 发表于 2015-10-6 06:49 a, o; s. ^; W# _0 `
先等各国国会批准吧。加拿大至少得等大选完了再说。1 X& j" @, c6 @$ A* I
美国政客现在只关心大选，这次又是九十天一揽子，春节 ...
晨枫 发表于 2015-10-6 08:12& U5 _3 {+ d: T& ^5 t
我想了一遍：TPP对加拿大几乎没有好处，但不加入只有坏处，说不定还真一不做二不休，和中国也签订自由贸 ...
qyangroo 发表于 2015-10-6 09:075 `! c& z9 C$ j- L* E# y
据说tpp里有条款：
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就是TPP内国家只有从产品源头开始所有价值链都在国内，才可以享受零关税，
晨枫 发表于 2015-10-6 23:35
对，我也刚看到这一条。越南成衣的面料和纽扣、拉链什么的还大部分来自中国、韩国，这使得越南成衣能算入 ...
qyangroo 发表于 2015-10-6 09:45
越看越觉得日本是大赢家，农产品虽然貌似受损失，可是福岛核电站污染了地下水，日本本国农产品本来就不敢 ...
晨枫 发表于 2015-10-6 23:489 G0 ?* M }6 q% K1 F2 J t9 P
日本确是最大赢家，但接下来就会面临日元升值压力。美国汽车公司也不是好惹的。 ...
晨枫 发表于 2015-10-6 07:35
对，我也刚看到这一条。越南成衣的面料和纽扣、拉链什么的还大部分来自中国、韩国，这使得越南成衣能算入 ...
holycow 发表于 2015-10-6 09:56( u' g5 R* V2 s: I! m
汽车只需要45%的价值来自TPP区域
qyangroo 发表于 2015-10-6 09:54+ d$ H+ l& j$ j# j2 v) O: ~
日本车该占的美国市场已经占得差不多了，我觉得是美国汽车公司看上了目前还很封闭的日本本土汽车市场，要 ...
晨枫 发表于 2015-10-7 00:12
日本汽车零件进入美国的门槛还是很高，加拿大就是直通车，所以安大略不满意。 ...
TPP poses enormous risk for the U.S. industry, as well as potential benefit if done right. The risk comes from Japan, which will export an estimated 1.51 million cars to the U.S. this year, making it the third biggest exporter of cars to America after Canada and Mexico. Japanese car companies sell roughly as many cars in the U.S. every day as American car companies sell in Japan every year. While the U.S. market is basically open for Japanese exports, the Japanese market has been largely closed to foreign competition; only some six percent of cars in the Japanese market are foreign made, the lowest percentage of any OECD country.
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The United States has for decades run a trade deficit with Japan. In 2012 the U.S. deficit vis-à-vis Japan in autos and auto parts alone was $53.5 billion. Much of the trade deficit in autos can be attributed to Japan’s extensive system of non-tariff barriers that effectively increase the price of U.S. made autos on the Japanese market. For example, while a Ford Focus Hatchback costs $18,300 in the US, it costs $29,558 in Japan – a 62% price increase.
Japan’s non-tariff barriers include arbitrary and restrictive standards that are very difficult for foreign suppliers to meet and a dealer system largely closed to foreign producers. However, currency manipulation has historically been one of the most critical non-tariff barriers. Since September 2012 the yen has depreciated 25 percent against the dollar, which translates almost directly into a reduction in costs to Japanese exporters of the same amount. The auto industry operates on a very slim profit margin, on average as little as 3.3% per vehicle according to a 2009 report by McKinsey & Company. Given this exchange rate advantage, it is extremely difficult for a U.S. producer to compete with a Japanese import.
天狼星 发表于 2015-10-6 09:14
日本自己的大米供应是坚决死保的，牛肉爱保不保，这么大点地方想养也养不多，只能走奢侈品路线去弄什么雪花 ...
美国这是在给糖，奖励其持续买美债和跟中国作对，也算win win吧。
MacArthur 发表于 2015-10-7 00:33
同意。美国产业已经空心化了，这种趋势不可逆。也就是说TPP最大受益者必定要向“产能”最高的国家倾斜。 ...
qyangroo 发表于 2015-10-7 01:22
如果汽车那个仅要求45%来自TPP是真的，俺真不理解美国啊。为了遏制中国，签这种往自己身上插刀放血的协议 ...
qyangroo 发表于 2015-10-6 10:31
美国贸易政策的网站上说：
MacArthur 发表于 2015-10-6 10:339 f* T- k8 R" L @) J
同意。美国产业已经空心化了，这种趋势不可逆。也就是说TPP最大受益者必定要向“产能”最高的国家倾斜。 ...
qyangroo 发表于 2015-10-6 12:22/ [+ F( m+ E8 {
如果汽车那个仅要求45%来自TPP是真的，俺真不理解美国啊。为了遏制中国，签这种往自己身上插刀放血的协议 ...
怀疑这东西真能在国会通过吗？
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